Scientists at the University of Washington have created a model of the coronavirus pandemic, which suggests the US could see the last death on June 21. But the model is questionable to some extent.
Epidemiologists around the world are doing their very best to predict the course of COVID-19. As the disease is about to reach 600,000 confirmed cases in USA, the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington has created a model that suggests the very last death could take place on June 21, seeing no deaths throughout July and August.
However, even with optimistic news from New York or several European countries in recent days, it's hard to be that optimistic. The model has been heavily promoted by the Trump administration, perhaps because the economy needs good news, wherever they can be found. But there are significant reservations expressed towards this promising, optimistic model. Some of them point the finger at China and Japan, where new cases are being found regularly even after presumed victory.
